lead, next support @ 136 followed by 132

Lead is moving towards 136 followed by 132

mcx lead daily chart 

mcx lead hourly chart

     As shown in daily chart of mcx lead, price is moving in downward channel from start of February till today. The channel is intact in these 3 months. Price fell from 165 to 136 making up and downs within this channel. After hitting low of Rs 136, it reverted back and make high of Rs 146 around. Expiry short covering helped it to touch the resistance line, but as soon as it entered in new contract, it gave up all the steam and tumbled down. Broke middle line of bollinger band downwards, which is bearish sign again.

     On hourly charts, It made a new resistance of Rs 146.80 mark. It created double top there. Now it is very difficult to cross it.

     Now support is placed at 136, which is prior low and can work as support now. Second point is that,' bollinger band support line is placed at 136 mark. But , as bollinger band is moving indicator, it can turn down, ones price hit 136 mark.

     As per wave count price should touch 132, sooner or latter. Trade accordingly, with less quantity, strict sl or trailing sl method. Protection of capital is must to remain in market.

     Thanking you, Jay Shriram. 

Copper in free fall mode

                                      10/7/2016, Sunday.

                        

Channel Pattern 

As indicated in attached daily copper chart, we can easily see that, copper price is moving in a donward moving channel since last 90 days. On 3 occasions ( a,c,e ) it touched resistance line. Price respected resistance line in this upward journey and came back to visit support line ( b & d ). In the third upmove it touched the resistance line and fall vertically. This point is shown in red rectangle.

There is another channel within the main channel, which is indicated by red lines. After returning from resistance line ( rectangle ), price breach support line of this blue colored channel ( circle ) around Rs 325 - 326 mark and as a result it got new steam for its down ward journey. 

                              Failure Of  Expanding triangle

Usually price fell after end of expanding triangle but here we can see the failure of this chart pattern. We can see this triangle colored in blue lines. Instead of going down price sparked upward and touched point e of resistance line.

                                        Moving Averages 

For the purpose of study of dma, 3 types of dma,s used here. (1) 5dma is shown in yellow line (2) 10 dma is shown in blue color line (3) 20 dma is shown in green color line. 5 dma line crossed 10 dma line in downward direction. As there are only 5 days or 5 candles in its downward journey, 10 dma line is yet to show new direction.

                                              Conclusion

Looking at channel structure and break of inner channel support line, we can hope that price will continue its journey towards main support line of big channel towards supportline placed around Rs 300 or 2.22 dolor mark. If we think only about main channel irrespective of inner blue colored channel, price is heading toward support line after visiting resistance line. Support line is placed around Rs 296 to 297. But there is support around Rs 300 or dolor 2.22 which is last time low, shown as point d. So keeping all this factors in mind I suggest to go short in copper @ cmp Rs 318 or 2.12 dolor for the targeted price of Rs 301 mcx or dolor 2.02 with the sl of Rs 321.60 mcx or dolor 2.15 around. Stop loss is placed @ the high price of last day candle. Hoping good profits from this trade, wish you best luck. Request you to use trailing sl method for safer profits. Thank you.