Nickel, breakout H & S pattern

nickel mcx weekly chart 

     This is weekly chart of Nickel, clearcut breakout of Head and Shoulder pattern can be seen here. Weekly candle closed below neck line at Rs 626, while neckline of H & S pattern is placed at Rs 640. Perfect case of bearish breakout.

     Next support is rs 552, which is prior low, where price got support in past. After that, final support is Rs 518, which is our targeted price.

     One should be cautious because this is weekly chart and take its time in weeks timeframe. One should kep this in mind and trade accordingly. Some up and downs will be there as usual.

     Nothing to say more about it. I will update this post with regular intervals. If you like this post, share it on facebook and other social media. I know you will not do this, but saying like this is a style of a good blogger.

     Thank you, Jay Shriram.

Gold

mcx gold hourly chart 

     Gold is not my favourite counter to trade with, but today it attract me toward itself. After opening gap up on 15 th March , gold went in to consolidation phase. It moved between 28400 to 29000 for 26 days. Yesterday gold gave upward breakout, crossing the hurdle of 28950 and closed above it, around 29200. 

     Now as a rule of polarity prior resistance of 28950 became support for the gold price, next support is placed at 28750 around, and third support is placed at 28600. While 28350 to 28400 is a final support.

     On the upside first tgt is 29800 followed by 30600. This is not intraday call but a positional one.

     Thank you for visiting my blog, to get regular updates, follow me on google+, twitter and subscribe by email. Its free always. Jay Shriram.

Update 1, 14th April 2017, 02.10 pm

mcx gold hourly chart

     You can see, price closed at 29418 yesterday. We gave call at 29200 around. Gold price consolidate little on 12th April and 13th April and break up on 13th April towards 29418. It closed on very positive note.

     Now support for short term is placed between 29270 and 29290. followed by 29100 and final support is placed at 28950.

     Maintain your longs with trailing sl system, do your trading carefully. Loosing capital is easily done but recovering it is very hard task to do.

     Thank you, Jay Shriram.

Update 2, 23rd April 2017

mcx gold hourly chart 

     Here is mcx gold attached chart. I draw new support and resistance levels for short term on it. Friday closing of gold on mcx was 29384, but on comex it closed higher at 1289 around.

     French elections, problem of Islamic refugees, ISIS, Turkey demands, Spain bankruptcy and North Korea, the list is endless. This can push up gold in coming days. Actually French  people's are fed up with pseudo secular governments and their policies about refugees from Syria. country has more than 7% population of these refugees. This group of refugees deny to mix with main stream and want to press their religious concepts in France. Intelligence report indicate riots after election results. On the other side, turkey is blackmailing EU, asking huge amount. It blackmail Europe that,' they will open up gates for refugees.' Spain is about to face bankruptcy. North Korea issue is not decreasing yet.

     Lets look at our way of trading, which is technical analysis. Rs 29550 is now resistance. It is prior spike high on hourly chart. After crossing it, price can move towards major resistance of 29800. If cross 29800, gold will enter in to medium term bullishness. On the downside 29240, 29200 are the supports. 29100 and the 28950 are the major supports. 

     So trade accordingly. Thanking you, Jay Shriram.

Final update, 26th April.

     We booked loss of 350 points yesterday. Our sl hit at 28900 mark. We did 2 trades in gold, got profit around 100 points in first trade and loss of 450 points in second trade. total loss 350 points, means 35000 rupees.

zinc, is it moving towards 170 ?

Zinc, in process of making descending triangle

Zinc mcx daily chart

     First of all, keep in mind that,' this is daily chart and take its time accordingly.' Many of us are habitual of 15 min, hourly chart to get instant results but here is daily chart posted.

     As seen in the chart, after making high around 204, zinc price turned downward, made low of 166 and turned upward and made new lower high of 196 around. After the high of 204, zinc price is made lower and lower highs, as seen in the attached chart.

     If we cover all candles from 204 high in triangle, there will be symmetrical triangle chart formation is in making. But we cant hold the position for such a long duration to get expected results. so we took price movement from second lower high of 198 marked at 13th Feb 2017 till yesterday.

     After drawn a triangle, there is descending triangle appeared on chart. To confirm it we used ABCD pattern and acknowledge that price touched 2 times to upperline and 2 times to the lower ( support line ) line. This is essential for to be a descending triangle.

     On the upside, resistance from channel resistance line ( descending line ) and prior high is placed at 186.50 around. this should be sl.

     Support line of this triangle is placed at 175.75, if zinc price break this, then it can touch 170 mark and after that 166 mark. Thats all, what can I read from this daily zinc chart. 

     Hope that, this post will help you in taking your descisions. If you like this article, please share it on facebook and other social media. Thank you for giving your precious time to read my blog, Jay Shriram.

update 1, 7th April, 12.30 am

mcx zinc daily chart

     As you can see in the chart, 6th april closing price is 175.95 and price made low of 175.05, closed on very negative note. Rule for descending triangle is that,' breakout should happen after 2/3 rd triangle space is captured by candles, but that rule was not followed by zinc price in this case. On 3rd april zinc price tried to breakout downwards breaching 175.80 price mark downwards but failed. A falls spike occures taking the price up to 181.75. after two trading days, today it comes back on right track. 

     Now we are using trailing stop loss method to lock profits. Next tgt is 170 followed by 166. Lets hope for good. Jay Shriram.

update 2, 7th apr, 12.37 pm

mcx zinc daily

     Beautiful breakout, patience paid us huge profits. We shorted it at 181 and holding the position patiently since last 1 month or more. Many up and downs were there. Price went up to 188, but we didnt shut down position. We were confident about our chart pattern. And here is the result. I feel this chart pattern is more beautiful than Taj Mahal.

Update 3, 12th April 2017, 11.45 am

mcx zinc daily chart

     Look at the daily mcx zinc chart, price broke S2 166 just before few minutes. Below 166 there will be panic situation for zinc, can face lower circuit. If somebody is caught in long position should place sl at 164 and wait for any pull back to exit long.

    We booked all profits for our short  position created around 181. Now this zinc post is closed.

Crude upward breakout

mcx crude hourly chart 

     Respective readers, we bought crude at 3204 on 29th March. I mentioned it on mmb on the same date. We were waiting it to cross 3200 mark before it actually happens.

     Why we were waiting for 3200 to cross ? because crossing this mark gave us confirmation of trend reversal. crude price cross first 2 resistances successfully. Now crude is moving in a upward channel and already made 3 higher highs and 3 lower highs. First resistance was placed at 3157 and second was placed at 3186 to 196 range. Again on 30th Mar price took resistance at 3243 to 3247 mark, returned back but successfully crossed it upwards and wee trail our sl ctc. This resistance was very much important because in past price returned downward from this resistance on 3 occasions. You can easily see it on chart. 

     Now there is no resistance till 3336 to 3350. Price can easily go up to this band. 

     Again if crude cross this 3350 mark, there will be next resistance placed at 3400 mark. This resistance is different from other resistances because it is made from gap down chart pattern in the past. See the 9th mar 2017 gap on horizontal line placed at 3400 mark. Next resistance is 3533, again it is made from gap down and final is 3587.

     Conclusion --- crude can touch 3600 mark, trade with sl. Use resistance levels to place sl because once price cross resistance line upward, then the same line works as support line.

     Hope, you like this trade idea, If you like it, then please share it on facebook and other social media. Thank you, Jay Shriram.

update 1, 7th Apr, 12.55 am

mcx houly chart

     

As seen in the chart, crude price cross all major resistances and turn upwards. We bought it at 3204. Now next hurdle is 3374, which is prior high, now it will work as resistance. After crossing that 3400 is next resistance.
On the downside, 3330, 3317 and 3303 are supports. Within them 3303 is major support, if this support will break, we will exit from the long position at all.
Intraday traders can use these levels to trade with buy on deep strategy.
Thanking you, Jay Shriram.

Update 2, 12th April 2017, 12.10 pm

mcx crude daily

     Cmp crude is 3464, we are nearing our tgt 3600. Crude price is in upward channel, making higher highs and higher lows. the trend is intact.

Update 3, 14th April 2017, 01.37 pm

mcx crude hourly chart

     As indicated in the chart, we enter crude long trade at 3204 for the tgt of 3600, but yesterday our trailing sl hit at 3425. I trailed sl very near to cmp because there is Head & Shoulder pattern is in making on crude hourly chart. So I think that it is better to book profits. If crude price broke neckline of HS pattern, which is placed around 3406 around, crude can go down towards 3310 around for short term. I will think to enter long again near that short term support, if things happen as I think right now. Next chart is showing HS pattern in making.

mcx crude hourly chart

    You can see, right shoulder is about to end its formation on hourly chart. If it successfuly make it, then tgt is 3320 around. So trade accordingly. We booked our profits, so post is closed now.

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