Saturday 1 April 2017

zinc, is it moving towards 170 ?

Zinc, in process of making descending triangle

Zinc mcx daily chart
     First of all, keep in mind that,' this is daily chart and take its time accordingly.' Many of us are habitual of 15 min, hourly chart to get instant results but here is daily chart posted.
     As seen in the chart, after making high around 204, zinc price turned downward, made low of 166 and turned upward and made new lower high of 196 around. After the high of 204, zinc price is made lower and lower highs, as seen in the attached chart.
     If we cover all candles from 204 high in triangle, there will be symmetrical triangle chart formation is in making. But we cant hold the position for such a long duration to get expected results. so we took price movement from second lower high of 198 marked at 13th Feb 2017 till yesterday.
     After drawn a triangle, there is descending triangle appeared on chart. To confirm it we used ABCD pattern and acknowledge that price touched 2 times to upperline and 2 times to the lower ( support line ) line. This is essential for to be a descending triangle.
     On the upside, resistance from channel resistance line ( descending line ) and prior high is placed at 186.50 around. this should be sl.
     Support line of this triangle is placed at 175.75, if zinc price break this, then it can touch 170 mark and after that 166 mark. Thats all, what can I read from this daily zinc chart. 
     Hope that, this post will help you in taking your descisions. If you like this article, please share it on facebook and other social media. Thank you for giving your precious time to read my blog, Jay Shriram.

update 1, 7th April, 12.30 am

mcx zinc daily chart
     As you can see in the chart, 6th april closing price is 175.95 and price made low of 175.05, closed on very negative note. Rule for descending triangle is that,' breakout should happen after 2/3 rd triangle space is captured by candles, but that rule was not followed by zinc price in this case. On 3rd april zinc price tried to breakout downwards breaching 175.80 price mark downwards but failed. A falls spike occures taking the price up to 181.75. after two trading days, today it comes back on right track. 
     Now we are using trailing stop loss method to lock profits. Next tgt is 170 followed by 166. Lets hope for good. Jay Shriram.

update 2, 7th apr, 12.37 pm

mcx zinc daily
     Beautiful breakout, patience paid us huge profits. We shorted it at 181 and holding the position patiently since last 1 month or more. Many up and downs were there. Price went up to 188, but we didnt shut down position. We were confident about our chart pattern. And here is the result. I feel this chart pattern is more beautiful than Taj Mahal.

Update 3, 12th April 2017, 11.45 am

mcx zinc daily chart
     Look at the daily mcx zinc chart, price broke S2 166 just before few minutes. Below 166 there will be panic situation for zinc, can face lower circuit. If somebody is caught in long position should place sl at 164 and wait for any pull back to exit long.
    We booked all profits for our short  position created around 181. Now this zinc post is closed.

Crude upward breakout

mcx crude hourly chart 
     Respective readers, we bought crude at 3204 on 29th March. I mentioned it on mmb on the same date. We were waiting it to cross 3200 mark before it actually happens.
     Why we were waiting for 3200 to cross ? because crossing this mark gave us confirmation of trend reversal. crude price cross first 2 resistances successfully. Now crude is moving in a upward channel and already made 3 higher highs and 3 lower highs. First resistance was placed at 3157 and second was placed at 3186 to 196 range. Again on 30th Mar price took resistance at 3243 to 3247 mark, returned back but successfully crossed it upwards and wee trail our sl ctc. This resistance was very much important because in past price returned downward from this resistance on 3 occasions. You can easily see it on chart. 
     Now there is no resistance till 3336 to 3350. Price can easily go up to this band. 
     Again if crude cross this 3350 mark, there will be next resistance placed at 3400 mark. This resistance is different from other resistances because it is made from gap down chart pattern in the past. See the 9th mar 2017 gap on horizontal line placed at 3400 mark. Next resistance is 3533, again it is made from gap down and final is 3587.
     Conclusion --- crude can touch 3600 mark, trade with sl. Use resistance levels to place sl because once price cross resistance line upward, then the same line works as support line.
     Hope, you like this trade idea, If you like it, then please share it on facebook and other social media. Thank you, Jay Shriram.

update 1, 7th Apr, 12.55 am

mcx houly chart
     
As seen in the chart, crude price cross all major resistances and turn upwards. We bought it at 3204. Now next hurdle is 3374, which is prior high, now it will work as resistance. After crossing that 3400 is next resistance.
On the downside, 3330, 3317 and 3303 are supports. Within them 3303 is major support, if this support will break, we will exit from the long position at all.
Intraday traders can use these levels to trade with buy on deep strategy.
Thanking you, Jay Shriram.

Update 2, 12th April 2017, 12.10 pm

mcx crude daily
     Cmp crude is 3464, we are nearing our tgt 3600. Crude price is in upward channel, making higher highs and higher lows. the trend is intact.

Update 3, 14th April 2017, 01.37 pm

mcx crude hourly chart
     As indicated in the chart, we enter crude long trade at 3204 for the tgt of 3600, but yesterday our trailing sl hit at 3425. I trailed sl very near to cmp because there is Head & Shoulder pattern is in making on crude hourly chart. So I think that it is better to book profits. If crude price broke neckline of HS pattern, which is placed around 3406 around, crude can go down towards 3310 around for short term. I will think to enter long again near that short term support, if things happen as I think right now. Next chart is showing HS pattern in making.
mcx crude hourly chart
    You can see, right shoulder is about to end its formation on hourly chart. If it successfuly make it, then tgt is 3320 around. So trade accordingly. We booked our profits, so post is closed now.
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